Why India should look at Vietnam more keenly
The US, Japan and Singapore have all factored Vietnam’s critical place in their strategic calculations in recent years. It is time that India integrated Vietnam in its strategic objectives in the region and took full advantage of its potentialities Baladas Ghoshal
http://www.tribuneindia.com/2012/20121210/edit.htm#6
“Vietnam
values India’s friendship most. India has always stood
by us in our difficult times and we can always depend on India,” said
Truong Tan Sang, the then President designate of Vietnam, at a meeting
with me on 23rd June 2011 in Hanoi. After an excellent overview of the
current strategic and political environment in Asia-Pacific region, he
made a forceful point: “India is a responsible stake holder in the
peace, stability and security in the region and has a unique role to
play in the security architecture of Asia.”
Within
three months after becoming the President, Mr Truong travelled to India
last year in October to reaffirm Vietnam’s consistent policy of giving
high priority to the strategic partnership with India, elevate it to a
higher level and to promote the two countries’ cooperation in all fields
and at regional and international forums. Since then there has been a
spurt in high-level visits from Vietnam to India, supported by business
and government-level delegations. The latest is Prime Minister Nguyen
Tan Dung, who is coming on December 19 to Kolkata first to meet business
leaders and then to New Delhi to attend the anniversary of the
India-ASEAN summit to be held on December 20-21.
Strategic location
Vietnam
is important in the promotion of India’s political, economic and
security interests in South-East Asia, and in turn, in the success of
our Look-East Policy. Vietnam's strategic position — as a neighbour of
China, situated parallel to the great sea trade routes of Asia — always
made the country tremendously important.
Vietnam’s
geographical configuration with a coast-line of over 3.300 km in length
gives it a strategic footing in the naval waters extending from China’s
doorstep in the Gulf of Tonkin, a long littoral on the South China Sea,
and ending with another dimension in the Gulf of Thailand. Its size and
resources make it the politically and military predominant country in
the Indo-China peninsula. While the above was earlier significant only
to the United States and Japan in terms of lifeline sea-lanes running
parallel to the Vietnamese littoral, it is also increasingly becoming
important to India, as a major part of its trade takes place through the
seas. India, therefore, has a stake in helping Vietnam emerge as a
strong regional power and invigorate an Asian order that rejects
hegemonic dominance by any power, not at least by China. The two
countries have a common stake in the safety of the Sea Lines of
Communication, particularly in South China Sea.
Vietnam's
strategic significance has increased dramatically, owing to huge — and
not always widely recognised — transformations in its economic
performance and foreign-policy orientation. Reinvigorated by two decades
of rapid economic growth and a broad-based opening to the outside
world, Vietnam is now an emerging player in regional economic and
security affairs. Indeed, in recent months the country has played a
pivotal role in helping to establish Asia's emerging security order. In
October 2010, Hanoi hosted the East Asian Summit, a meeting at which the
US and Russia were recognised as Asian powers with vital national
interests in the region.
A reliable supporter
On
political and foreign policy issues Vietnam had been a consistent
supporter of India, including our scheme for the reform of the United
Nations and our recent bid for permanent membership in the Security
Council. Apart from cooperation in the bilateral framework, the two
countries have maintained close cooperation and mutual support at the
regional and international fora such as the UN, NAM and other mechanisms
in the ASEAN like the ARF, East Asia Summit and Mekong-Ganga
Cooperation.
Vietnam
along with other Southeast Asian nations perceive India as a benign
power whose peaceful rise accrues significant strategic benefits for her
to play a larger role in the region. This is in contrast to their
perception of China whose emergence as a major economic and military
power together with its irredentist claims over the whole of South China
Sea and exclusive economic zones have created apprehensions in Asia
about China’s future ambitions and intentions.
Economically,
Vietnam with its stress on economic liberalisation offers very
attractive preferential prospects for Indian foreign direct investment
in fields such as information technology, electricity, oil and gas,
metallurgy, coal, transport, agriculture, fisheries, food processing,
health care and medicine. In terms of India’s energy security, Vietnam’s
offshore oil deposit offers opportunities for exploration and eventual
supply to India.
Oil exploration
Indian
companies, including ONGC Videsh (OVL) and Essar Oil subsidiary Essar
Exploration and Production Limited, are expanding energy cooperation
with Vietnam. OVL along with Vietnam's PetroVietnam joined hands to bid
for the British Petroleum’s stake in Nam Con Son gas fields spread over
955-square kilometre include two offshore gas fields, a pipeline and
power project. OVL is reported to have invested $217 million on the gas
fields and could invest up to $377.46 million. OVL also has stakes in
two other exploration blocks 127 and 128 in Vietnam.
Even
while China has raised objections to these explorations on the ground
that the areas fall within the Chinese waters and has repeatedly warned
India against such moves, New Delhi made it clear that its state-owned
firm would continue to explore in the South China Sea. And Navy chief
D.K.Joshi said a few days back that Indian warships would be prepared to
set sail for the South China Sea if the country's economic interests
there are threatened in any way. The exploration projects do not violate
international law, and that China’s opposition has no legal basis.
Defence cooperation
While
politically India and Vietnam were always very close, economic and
strategic aspects were missing from that cordial relations until about
2000 when the then Defence Minister George Fernandes visited Vietnam in
March that year and agreed for a periodic security dialogue, thus
creating an institutionalised framework for regular meetings between the
defence ministers to discuss matters related to shared threat
perceptions. In the 2003 joint declaration, India and Vietnam envisaged
creating an "Arc of Advantage and Prosperity" in Southeast Asia. The New
Strategic Partnership signed in 2007 further strengthened multifaceted
ties ranging from political and economic engagements to security and
defence cooperation, science and technology and close cultural contacts.
Since then defence cooperation has increased considerably, particularly
in jointly combating the menace of piracy and co-operation in ship
building and hydrographic survey, joint naval training, joint anti-sea
piracy exercises in the South China Sea, jungle warfare training,
counter-insurgency training, air force pilots training in India and
assistance to Vietnam in establishing defence production.
Vietnam’s offer of port
In
the context of its growing tension with China in the South China Sea
Vietnam requires the support of a more credible naval power to intercede
on its behalf to prevent the Chinese from upping the ante any further,
and expects India to be one. Vietnam has given India the right to use
its port of Nha Trang just south of China’s new naval base at Sanya on
Hainan Island.; the Indian Navy has already made a port call.
The
Indian Navy was perhaps the only foreign navy in recent times to have
been given this privilege by the Vietnamese at a port other than Halong
Bay, near Hanoi. Vietnam has sought Indian help for augmenting the size
and capabilities of it navy by supplying offshore patrol vessels and
fast attack craft. India is already training Vietnamese naval personnel
and helping maintain any equipment that Vietnam sources from Russia. New
Delhi has also agreed in principle to sell Vietnam the Brahmos
supersonic anti-ship missile and possibly Prithvi surface-to-surface
missiles.
Less
visible, but no less critical, is the Indian IT industry’s involvement
in devising network-centric solutions for the Vietnamese armed forces.
Vietnam expects India to play a vital role in the capacity building of
its military deterrence capabilities, and work together to address
regional and global challenges. The evolving strategic partnership is
meant for mutual benefit and is not meant for an alliance against any
third country.
Bilateral trade
The
India-Vietnam bilateral trade volume has increased from US$50 million
in 1991 to over $2.7 billion in 2010 and is targeted to reach $7 billion
in 2015. If direct flights between the two countries come into force by
the beginning of next year, the trade might even jump to $15 billion.
India pledged to take necessary measures to enable Vietnamese products
to enter Indian markets so as to balance the two-way trade. India has
offered Vietnam a US $45 million credit with preferential treatments for
the building of a hydro-electricity power plant.
The
list of major Indian exports to Vietnam includes animal feed,
pharmaceuticals, medicinal materials, plastic, iron and steel, seafood
chemicals, chemical products, machinery and equipment, leather and
leather garments, motorcycle parts, fertilizers, and automobile parts.
While India’s import pepper, tea, coffee coal, rubber, cinnamon, and
electronic components from Vietnam.
The writer is a Distinguished Fellow, Institute of Peace and
Conflict Studies, New Delhi
|
Sunday, December 9, 2012
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